Predictive Power of Air Travel and Socio-Economic Data for Early Pandemic Spread

PLoS ONE: Predictive Power of Air Travel and Socio-Economic Data for Early Pandemic Spread: "Here, we examine the role of travel, trade, and national healthcare resources in predicting the emergence and initial spread of 2009 A/H1N1 influenza. We find that incorporating national healthcare resource data into our analyses allowed a much greater capacity to predict the international spread of this virus. In countries with lower healthcare resources, the reporting of 2009 A/H1N1 cases was significantly delayed, likely reflecting a lower capacity for testing and reporting, as well as other socio-political issues."